Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.