Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 20

Jan 13, 2023 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Leeds

Bailey (3'), Buendia (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bamford (83')

The Match

Match Report

Leon Bailey and Emiliano Buendia score the goals as Aston Villa record a 2-1 victory over Leeds United in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Stevenage
Sunday, January 8 at 4.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Leeds
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Leeds United
47.71% ( 0.13)	24.77% ( -0)	27.52% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 54.77% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.11% (

-0.08)

47.89% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.93% (

-0.08)

70.07% (

0.07)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.87% (

0.02)

20.12% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.61% (

0.03)

52.39% (

-0.04)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

-0.14)

31.43% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

-0.16)

67.81% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 47.71%

Leeds United 27.52%

Draw 24.76%

Aston Villa	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.71%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.52%