MX23RW : Friday, December 13 17:32:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Derby logo
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Derby
4 - 0
Accrington

Barkhuizen (7', 46'), Hourihane (16'), McGoldrick (45+2' pen.)
Smith (11'), Sibley (29'), Forsyth (62')
Osula (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Whalley (13'), Rodgers (22'), Fernandes (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Derby County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cambridge
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League One

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-0 Accrington Stanley

 Derby have proven to be a tough team to beat, and after winning their last two home matches, we think that they will continue their impressive home form by recording a victory over an Accrington side who have won only one of their last 11 league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
61.03% (0.132 0.13) 21.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 17.37% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 51.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (0.052999999999997 0.05)45.68% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (0.050999999999998 0.05)68% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (0.057000000000002 0.06)14.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.54% (0.112 0.11)42.46% (-0.114 -0.11)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.19% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)39.81% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.52% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)76.48% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 61.02%
    Accrington Stanley 17.37%
    Draw 21.6%
Derby CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 6.93% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.35% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 61.02%
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.6%
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 17.37%

How you voted: Derby vs Accrington

Derby County
93.1%
Draw
3.4%
Accrington Stanley
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Accrington
0-3
Derby
Osula (15', 39'), Barkhuizen (90+8')
Cashin (28')
Jan 26, 2019 12.30pm
Fourth Round
Accrington
0-1
Derby

Barlaser (3')
Barlaser (59')
Waghorn (78')
Bogle (86'), Jozefzoon (90'), Nugent (90')
Bogle (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!