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Championship header 2

League One

Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Morecambe
2 - 0
Accrington

Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Morecambe and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Barnsley
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
28.88% (0.116 0.12)25.29% (-0.012 -0.01)45.83% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (0.112 0.11)49.28% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.101 0.1)71.33% (-0.104 -0.1)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.14400000000001 0.14)31.14% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.167 0.17)67.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)54.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.88%
    Accrington Stanley 45.82%
    Draw 25.28%
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.88%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.82%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Accrington

Morecambe
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Accrington Stanley
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Gibson (28')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
3-3
Accrington
Stockton (15', 81'), Phillips (27')
Gibson (19')
McLoughlin (38')
Bishop (19' pen., 68'), Butcher (21')
Hamilton (39')
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
1-0
Morecambe
Kee (45' pen.)
Brown (63'), Jackson (67')

Rose (73'), Old (85')
Sep 2, 2017 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Accrington
Ellison (95')
Brough (60'), Campbell (62'), Muller (76')
Oliver (57')
Kee (31'), Clark (90')
Jackson (63')