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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Morecambe
2 - 0
Accrington

Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Bedeau (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pritchard (57'), Rodgers (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Morecambe and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Accrington Stanley

Morecambe may be winless in 11 games in all competitions, but they have avoided defeat in their last four home games, and with their previous three home matches finishing all square, we think that they will playing out another draw on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
28.88% (0.116 0.12) 25.29% (-0.012 -0.01) 45.83% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (0.112 0.11)49.28% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.101 0.1)71.33% (-0.104 -0.1)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.14400000000001 0.14)31.14% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.167 0.17)67.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)54.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.88%
    Accrington Stanley 45.82%
    Draw 25.28%
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.88%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.82%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Accrington

Morecambe
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Accrington Stanley
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Gibson (28')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
3-3
Accrington
Stockton (15', 81'), Phillips (27')
Gibson (19')
McLoughlin (38')
Bishop (19' pen., 68'), Butcher (21')
Hamilton (39')
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
1-0
Morecambe
Kee (45' pen.)
Brown (63'), Jackson (67')

Rose (73'), Old (85')
Sep 2, 2017 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Accrington
Ellison (95')
Brough (60'), Campbell (62'), Muller (76')
Oliver (57')
Kee (31'), Clark (90')
Jackson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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