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Championship header 2

League One

Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Morecambe

Port Vale
1 - 0
Morecambe

Massey (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Port Vale and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Morecambe

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 15.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
61.34% (0.019999999999996 0.02)23.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)15.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.07% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (0.004999999999999 0)76.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)17.61% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (0.015999999999998 0.02)48.19% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.11% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.89% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.85% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)83.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 61.32%
    Morecambe 15.47%
    Draw 23.19%
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 14.64%
2-0 @ 12.71%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 7.36% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2%
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 61.32%
1-1 @ 10.78%
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.19%
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 3.97% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 15.47%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Morecambe

Port Vale
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Morecambe
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Morecambe
Smith (34')
Oyeleke (14'), Brisley (26'), Rodney (89')

Lavelle (34')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Phillips (76' pen.)
Gibson (85'), O'Sullivan (90+5')

Legge (77')
Jan 14, 2020 7.45pm
Morecambe
2-1
Port Vale
Old (6'), Stockton (12')
Kenyon (76')
Gibbons (71')
Legge (28')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
3-1
Morecambe
Joyce (49'), Pope (68', 90')
Crookes (73')
O'Sullivan (18')
Brewitt (45'), Alessandra (48'), Lavelle (76')
Cranston (32')
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
0-1
Morecambe

Kay (68'), Hannant (72')
Collins (75')
Kenyon (31'), Mendes Gomes (63'), Cranston (72')