League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
2 - 1
Morecambe

Ennis (69'), Cosgrove (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Connor (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Exeter
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Morecambe
62.44% ( 0.51)	21.06% ( -0.23)	16.49% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.15% (

0.48)

44.85% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79% (

0.46)

67.21% (

-0.46)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.22% (

0.31)

13.78% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.91% (

0.61)

41.08% (

-0.61)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.61% (

-0.07)

40.38% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23% (

-0.06)

77% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 62.44%

Morecambe 16.49%

Draw 21.06%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 62.44%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.06%	0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.49%