Burton Albion
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Dec 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Burton Albion
2 - 4
Accrington

Oshilaja (7'), Tharme (23' og.)
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rodgers (20', 68'), Pritchard (41'), Leigh (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Burton Albion and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Derby
Saturday, December 10 at 2pm in League One

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawAccrington Stanley
37.32% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)38.32% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 60.13% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (0.0040000000000049 0)42.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (0.0049999999999955 0)65.01% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (0.0039999999999907 0)22.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)56.38% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (0.0039999999999907 0)22.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)55.62%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.32%
    Accrington Stanley 38.32%
    Draw 24.35%
Burton AlbionDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.34%
1-0 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.32%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.47%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 4.25%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 38.32%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Accrington

Burton Albion
40.6%
Draw
37.5%
Accrington Stanley
21.9%
32
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Accrington
4-4
Burton Albion
Pritchard (52'), McConville (57'), Woods (90'), Longelo-Mbule (90+6')
Keillor-Dunn (10' pen., 17', 50'), Ahadme (81')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Accrington
0-0
Burton Albion

McConville (89')

Oshilaja (39'), Mancienne (45+2')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
4-0
Accrington
Jebbison (28', 50'), Smith (45+4', 49')

Coyle (66'), Mumbongo (82')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Accrington
0-0
Burton Albion

Mancienne (53')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Burton Albion
2-1
Accrington
Powell (72'), Brayford (87')
Quinn (56'), Garratt (90+4')
Pritchard (83')
Burgess (76'), Allan (85')