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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barnsley |
| 33.25% ( | 25.38% ( | 41.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.09% ( | 47.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( | 70.08% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( | 27.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% ( | 63.01% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( | 23.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.18% ( | 56.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.25% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.38% |