FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Barnsley3 - 0Crewe
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Barnsley
Wednesday, November 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Wednesday, November 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Barnsley 3-1 Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra will arrive with plenty of confidence having put a run of results together after a tough year, but a trip to Oakwell will likely be a step too far, and we see them falling short against a strong and improving Tykes side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
62.13% ( 0.01) | 21.9% ( -0) | 15.97% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.68% ( -0) | 49.31% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.63% ( -0.01) | 71.37% ( 0.01) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.66% | 15.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.91% ( 0) | 44.08% ( -0) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.25% ( -0.01) | 43.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.08% ( -0.01) | 79.91% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley 62.12%
Crewe Alexandra 15.97%
Draw 21.89%
Barnsley | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 12.57% 2-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 7.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.09% 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 62.12% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.89% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.54% Total : 15.97% |
How you voted: Barnsley vs Crewe
Barnsley
76.5%Draw
5.9%Crewe Alexandra
17.6%17
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 12:35:15
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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