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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Burton Albion

Barnsley
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Cole (36', 73')
Connell (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-4 Accrington
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion

 Although Burton have struggled for victories, they have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent weeks with their last four league games ending all square, but we think that Barnsley will have enough quality to claim a fifth consecutive victory in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBurton Albion
60.11% (0.563 0.56) 22.08% (0.243 0.24) 17.81% (-0.809 -0.81)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-2.298 -2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-2.304 -2.3)47% (2.302 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (-2.187 -2.19)69.24% (2.185 2.18)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)15.21% (0.589 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.14% (-1.12 -1.12)43.86% (1.119 1.12)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (-2.277 -2.28)40.06% (2.276 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (-2.151 -2.15)76.71% (2.149 2.15)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 60.1%
    Burton Albion 17.81%
    Draw 22.07%
BarnsleyDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.85 0.85)
2-0 @ 10.8% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.261 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.569 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.315 -0.32)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.197 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Burton Albion

Barnsley
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
Burton Albion
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Barnsley
0-0
Burton Albion

Mowatt (51')

Daniel (27')
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
Barnsley
1-2
Burton Albion
Pinillos (75')
Williams (55')
Allen (1'), Davenport (45')
McFadzean (50'), Naylor (62'), Akins (74'), Allen (88')
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Barnsley
Lund (37'), Dyer (45')
Isgrove (21'), Potts (40'), Williams (73'), Barnes (87')
Isgrove (66')
Apr 29, 2017 3pm
Barnsley
1-1
Burton Albion
Moncur (38')
Jones (32')
Varney (52')
Flanagan (49'), Varney (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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