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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Burton Albion

Barnsley
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Cole (36', 73')
Connell (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-4 Accrington
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion

 Although Burton have struggled for victories, they have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent weeks with their last four league games ending all square, but we think that Barnsley will have enough quality to claim a fifth consecutive victory in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBurton Albion
60.11% (0.563 0.56) 22.08% (0.243 0.24) 17.81% (-0.809 -0.81)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-2.298 -2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-2.304 -2.3)47% (2.302 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (-2.187 -2.19)69.24% (2.185 2.18)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)15.21% (0.589 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.14% (-1.12 -1.12)43.86% (1.119 1.12)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (-2.277 -2.28)40.06% (2.276 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (-2.151 -2.15)76.71% (2.149 2.15)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 60.1%
    Burton Albion 17.81%
    Draw 22.07%
BarnsleyDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.85 0.85)
2-0 @ 10.8% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.261 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.569 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.315 -0.32)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.197 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Burton Albion

Barnsley
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
Burton Albion
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Barnsley
0-0
Burton Albion

Mowatt (51')

Daniel (27')
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
Barnsley
1-2
Burton Albion
Pinillos (75')
Williams (55')
Allen (1'), Davenport (45')
McFadzean (50'), Naylor (62'), Akins (74'), Allen (88')
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Barnsley
Lund (37'), Dyer (45')
Isgrove (21'), Potts (40'), Williams (73'), Barnes (87')
Isgrove (66')
Apr 29, 2017 3pm
Barnsley
1-1
Burton Albion
Moncur (38')
Jones (32')
Varney (52')
Flanagan (49'), Varney (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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