/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcamlog.png)
-
Lewis Dobbin
57'
Derby County vs Cambridge United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F01%2Fmark-bonner_1.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Derby County
65.51%
▼
(-0.59)
Draw
19.53%
▲
(+0.07)
Cambridge United
14.96%
▲
(+0.53)
Both Teams to Score:
52.98%
▲
(+1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.04%
▲
(+0.85)
Under 2.5
40.96%
▼
(-0.85)
Over 3.5
36.64%
▲
(+0.86)
Under 3.5
63.35%
▼
(-0.86)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
88.29%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
11.71%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
63.17%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
36.83%
▼
(-0.20)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5
60%
▲
(+1.25)
Under 0.5
40%
▼
(-1.25)
Over 1.5
23.35%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 1.5
76.65%
▼
(-1.13)
Score analysis
Derby County
65.5%
Draw
19.53%
Cambridge United
14.96%
Derby County
2-0
@
10.77%
▼
(-0.34)
1-0 @ 10.04% ▼ (-0.37)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.13)
5-0 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 65.5%
1-0 @ 10.04% ▼ (-0.37)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.13)
5-0 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 65.5%
Draw
1-1
@
9.21%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 19.53%
0-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 19.53%
Cambridge United
0-1
@
4.29%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 14.96%
1-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 14.96%