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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 1pm UK
The New Lawn
Cambridge United

Forest Green
2 - 1
Cambridge

March (37'), Wickham (90+3' pen.)
Casey (45+1'), Boyes (78'), O'Keeffe (89'), McGeouch (90+6')
O'Keeffe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Janneh (89')
Smith (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-0 Cambridge United

Forest Green may be unfortunately placed at the bottom of the league table, making them strong relegation candidates. However, manager Burchnall will look to take advantage against a Cambridge side seemingly incapable of scoring goals either home or away. Another strong outing for the Green's strike partnership of Wickham and March should be enough to topple Cambridge, and we predict winning goals from the pair of them this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCambridge United
50.3% (0.879 0.88) 25.05% (-0.306 -0.31) 24.65% (-0.574 -0.57)
Both teams to score 51.35% (0.364 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.753 0.75)51.17% (-0.756 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.656 0.66)73.01% (-0.65700000000001 -0.66)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (0.67400000000001 0.67)20.35% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (1.06 1.06)52.75% (-1.062 -1.06)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)35.52% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)72.29% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 50.3%
    Cambridge United 24.65%
    Draw 25.04%
Forest Green RoversDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.3%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.65%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Cambridge

Forest Green Rovers
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Cambridge United
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Forest Green
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (58'), Matt (65' pen.)
Matt (45+1')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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