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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Cambridge United

Curzon Ashton
0 - 0
Cambridge

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Curzon Ashton and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-3 Hereford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawCambridge United
18.17% (0.043000000000003 0.04)19.99% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)61.84% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.69% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.05% (0.373 0.37)36.95% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.87% (0.40199999999999 0.4)59.13% (-0.395 -0.4)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (0.271 0.27)33.68% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (0.288 0.29)70.33% (-0.282 -0.28)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.49% (0.124 0.12)11.51% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.61% (0.256 0.26)36.39% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 18.17%
    Cambridge United 61.84%
    Draw 19.99%
Curzon AshtonDrawCambridge United
2-1 @ 4.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.22% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 18.17%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.99%
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.06% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 7.11% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.53% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.87% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.84% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.09% (0.031 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.021 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.53% (0.008 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.9% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 61.84%

How you voted: Curzon Ashton vs Cambridge

Curzon Ashton
9.1%
Draw
0.0%
Cambridge United
90.9%
11