Bradford Park Avenue
National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Horsfall Stadium

Bradford Park Av
2 - 1
Curzon Ashton

Longbottom (82'), Johnson (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mahon (41')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Bradford Park Avenue and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford Park Avenue

All competitions
Last Game: Southport 4-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League North

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-0 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Bradford Park AvenueDrawCurzon Ashton
23.48% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)24.71%51.8% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 51.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13%50.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.75% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.8%73.19%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38%19.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bradford Park Avenue 23.48%
    Curzon Ashton 51.8%
    Draw 24.71%
Bradford Park AvenueDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.65%
3-1 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.48%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 11.63%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-2 @ 9.47%
1-3 @ 5.2%
0-3 @ 5.14%
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 2.12%
0-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.8%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Bradford Park Av
2-3
Curzon Ashton
Knight (5'), Havern (88')
Curran (23' pen., 29', 63')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Curzon Ashton
2-1
Bradford Park Av
Poscha (12'), McKay (59')
Johnson (34')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Bradford Park Av
P-P
Curzon Ashton
Dec 28, 2020 3pm
Curzon Ashton
3-0
Bradford Park Av
Waters (30'), Evans (71'), Cowan (88')

Downing (21')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Bradford Park Av
0-2
Curzon Ashton
Calveley (45'), Tavares (84')