Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.