Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.