League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
3 - 1
Accrington

Norwood (5'), Aitchison (8'), Williams (19')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Leigh (90+4' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Barnsley
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Accrington 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Accrington Stanley
55.72% ( -0.02)	23.6% ( 0)	20.68% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.91% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67% (

0.01)

49.33% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

0.01)

71.38% (

-0.01)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45% (

-0)

17.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.92% (

-0)

48.08% (

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.73% (

0.02)

38.26% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.98% (

0.02)

75.02% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 55.71%

Accrington Stanley 20.68%

Draw 23.59%

Barnsley	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.68% 2-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 55.71%	1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.59%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.68%