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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Barnsley
3 - 1
Accrington

Norwood (5'), Aitchison (8'), Williams (19')
Thomas (23')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Leigh (90+4' pen.)
Hamilton (26'), Coyle (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Barnsley
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Accrington Stanley

Accrington are coming into this encounter in decent form, and they tend to be well-organised and intelligent on the ball away from home. Barnsley have struggled with continuity to this point of 2023, and we expect them to have the bulk of the chances this weekend, but they have not shown much poise in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawAccrington Stanley
55.72% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 23.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.68% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.91% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.33% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)71.38% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.54% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)48.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)38.26% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)75.02% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 55.71%
    Accrington Stanley 20.68%
    Draw 23.59%
BarnsleyDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.68%
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 55.71%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.68%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Accrington

Barnsley
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
Accrington
Cavare (41'), Wood (45' og.)
Pinillos (62')

McConville (26')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Barnsley

Johnson (68'), Brown (84')
Woodrow (36'), Moore (90')
Mowatt (25'), Lindsay (28'), Fryers (34')
Fryers (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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CPortsmouth462813578413797
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4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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