Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.