League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Norwood (64'), Cundy (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Muskwe (77' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Barnsley and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Barnsley
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Sheff Weds
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Fleetwood Town
57.41% ( -0.44)	23.78% ( 0.07)	18.81% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 47.46% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58% (

0.23)

52.42% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9% (

0.19)

74.1% (

-0.19)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.94% (

-0.08)

18.06% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.03% (

-0.13)

48.97% (

0.14)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.91% (

0.56)

42.09% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.49% (

0.48)

78.51% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 57.4%

Fleetwood Town 18.81%

Draw 23.77%

Barnsley	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 13% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 57.4%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.77%	0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.81%