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Gerard Garner
64'
Ebbsfleet vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
Result
Ebbsfleet
34.46%
▲
(+0.23)
Draw
23.79%
▲
(+0.10)
Fleetwood Town
41.75%
▼
(-0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
61.81%
▼
(-0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.76%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 2.5
40.24%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 3.5
37.39%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 3.5
62.61%
▲
(+0.42)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5
76.85%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
23.16%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
42.97%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
57.03%
▲
(+0.10)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
80.43%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 0.5
19.57%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 1.5
48.51%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 1.5
51.49%
▲
(+0.51)
Score analysis
Ebbsfleet
34.46%
Draw
23.78%
Fleetwood Town
41.75%
Ebbsfleet
2-1
@
7.91%
▲
(+0.05)
1-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.46%
1-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.46%
Draw
1-1
@
10.81%
▲
(+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
2-2 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
Fleetwood Town
1-2
@
8.82%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 41.75%
0-1 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 41.75%