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FA Cup

Ebbsfleet United
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 27, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Fleetwood Town

Ebbsfleet
0 - 1
Fleetwood

FT(HT: 0-0)
Garner (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Ebbsfleet and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawFleetwood Town
34.46% (0.224 0.22)23.79% (0.094999999999999 0.09)41.75% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 61.81% (-0.288 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.399 -0.4)40.24% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.412 -0.41)62.61% (0.414 0.41)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)23.16% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)57.03% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.303 -0.3)19.57% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (-0.5 -0.5)51.49% (0.501 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 34.46%
    Fleetwood Town 41.75%
    Draw 23.78%
EbbsfleetDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.04 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.37% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.46%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.8% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 41.75%

How you voted: Ebbsfleet vs Fleetwood

Ebbsfleet
47.1%
Draw
17.6%
Fleetwood Town
35.3%
17