National League South | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Ebbsfleet United

Hemel Hempstead
1 - 1
Ebbsfleet

O'Connor (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paxman (28')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chippenham 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-1 St Albans City
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawEbbsfleet
21.03% (0.135 0.13)23.14% (0.031000000000002 0.03)55.82% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (0.036000000000001 0.04)47.01% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)69.26% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42% (0.156 0.16)36.58% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63% (0.156 0.16)73.37% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)16.67% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)46.53% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 21.03%
    Ebbsfleet 55.82%
    Draw 23.14%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 6.13% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.52% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.08% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.85% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.03%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 10.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 9.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.62% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 55.82%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Hemel Hempstead
1-3
Ebbsfleet
Hughes (78')
Tanner (8', 58'), Poleon (53')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0


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