National League South Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Harris O'Connor 73' goal
  • goal Jack Paxman 28'

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Chippenham 0 - 1 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Josh Castiglione

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Ebbsfleet 3 - 1 St Albans City
Goals scored
110
Top scorer
Dominic Poleon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 21.03% (+0.14)
Draw 23.14% (+0.04)
Ebbsfleet 55.82% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.85% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.99% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.74% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.26% (-0.04)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.42% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 36.58% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 26.63% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 73.37% (-0.16)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 83.33% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 16.67% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 53.47% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 46.53% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 21.03%
Draw 23.14%
Ebbsfleet 55.82%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 6.13% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.52% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 3.08% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 23.14%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 10.92% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.79% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.85% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.62% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 55.82%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 21
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlee Hughes 78' goal
  • goal Craig Tanner 8'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 53'
  • goal Craig Tanner 58'
National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dominic Poleon 40' goal
  • Adam Mekki 55' goal
  • Joe Martin 76' goal
  • goal Cole Kpekawa 67'
National League South Gameweek 41
May 21, 2021 11.00pm
National League South Gameweek 26
Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm