Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
1 - 1
Welling United

Tanner (45+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kasim (20')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 5-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 0-3 St Albans City
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 78.09%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 7.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.2%) and 1-0 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawWelling United
78.09% (-1.234 -1.23)14.43% (0.799 0.8)7.47% (0.435 0.44)
Both teams to score 44% (-0.788 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (-2.27 -2.27)38.52% (2.273 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.18% (-2.446 -2.45)60.81% (2.448 2.45)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.99% (-0.771 -0.77)8.01% (0.773 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.76% (-1.989 -1.99)28.24% (1.99 1.99)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.83% (-0.452 -0.45)52.17% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.89% (-0.294 -0.29)86.11% (0.29599999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 78.08%
    Welling United 7.47%
    Draw 14.44%
EbbsfleetDrawWelling United
2-0 @ 13.31% (0.41 0.41)
3-0 @ 11.2% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.719 0.72)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.155 0.15)
3-1 @ 7.29% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-0 @ 7.07% (-0.343 -0.34)
4-1 @ 4.6% (-0.288 -0.29)
5-0 @ 3.57% (-0.324 -0.32)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.32% (-0.245 -0.25)
6-0 @ 1.5% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.115 -0.12)
6-1 @ 0.98% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 78.08%
1-1 @ 6.87% (0.383 0.38)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.436 0.44)
2-2 @ 2.82% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 14.44%
0-1 @ 2.72% (0.251 0.25)
1-2 @ 2.23% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 7.47%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Welling United
2-4
Ebbsfleet
Derry (7'), Shokunbi (90+2')
Finney (36'), Bingham (44' pen.), Coulthirst (49'), Poleon (79')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Ebbsfleet
6-0
Welling United
Tanner (1', 38'), Bingham (9', 24'), Egan (40'), Romain (88')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Ebbsfleet
0-0
Welling United
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Welling United
4-3
Ebbsfleet
Durojaiye (9'), Akinyemi (37', 49' pen.), Campbell (86')
Taylor (25'), Poleon (59'), Wood (78')