National League South Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Haydn Hollis 23' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 28' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 45'+5' goal
  • goal Shaun Jeffers 69'

Ebbsfleet vs St Albans City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 1 - 1 Welling United
Goals scored
110
Top scorer
Dominic Poleon

St Albans City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
St Albans City 1 - 1 Dartford
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Shaun Jeffers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result

Ebbsfleet 51.96% (-1.44)
Draw 23.81% (+0.24)
St Albans City 24.22% (+1.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.78% (+0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.57% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 46.42% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 31.29% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 68.71% (-0.21)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 82.14% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 17.86% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 51.37% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 48.63% (+0.79)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5 66.69% (+1.19)
Under 0.5 33.31% (-1.18)
Over 1.5 30.07% (+1.28)
Under 1.5 69.93% (-1.28)

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 51.95%
Draw 23.81%
St Albans City 24.22%
Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.35)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.28)
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 51.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.26% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.33% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.81%
St Albans City
0-1 @ 6.54% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 6.19% (+0.25)
0-2 @ 3.59% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 2.27% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.22%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 33
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Dominic Poleon 72'
National League South Gameweek 22
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Bayley Brown 7' goal
  • Adam Mekki 12' goal
  • Adam Mekki 27' goal
  • William Wood 34' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 88' goal
National League South Gameweek 30
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
National League South Gameweek 3
Oct 17, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Mitchell Weiss 38' goal
  • Shaun Jeffers 40' goal
  • Shaun Jeffers 58' goal
  • goal Rakish Bingham 21'
  • goal Reece Grant 27'