Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
1 - 2
Tonbridge Angels

Monlouis (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Swift (10'), Miles (62')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hampton 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 72.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 10.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawTonbridge Angels
72.72% (0.27199999999999 0.27)17.21% (0.147 0.15)10.07% (-0.425 -0.43)
Both teams to score 45.65% (-2.154 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3% (-1.982 -1.98)42.7% (1.977 1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.89% (-2 -2)65.1% (1.994 1.99)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68% (-0.45599999999999 -0.46)10.31% (0.4511 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.26% (-1.038 -1.04)33.74% (1.033 1.03)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.9% (-2.135 -2.14)49.1% (2.129 2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.97% (-1.565 -1.57)84.03% (1.561 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 72.71%
    Tonbridge Angels 10.07%
    Draw 17.21%
EbbsfleetDrawTonbridge Angels
2-0 @ 13.06% (0.64 0.64)
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.77 0.77)
3-0 @ 9.9% (0.298 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.213 -0.21)
4-0 @ 5.62% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.202 -0.2)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.237 -0.24)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.165 -0.17)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 72.71%
1-1 @ 8.18% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.31% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.21%
0-1 @ 3.6% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 2.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 10.07%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Ebbsfleet
5-1
Tonbridge Angels
Poleon (7', 27', 29'), Bingham (14'), Mekki (80')
Olutade (73')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0


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