National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 2
Bath City

Collins (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayfield (64'), Fletcher (72')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Taunton Town 4-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South

Bath City

All competitions
Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawBath City
43.71% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)25.34%30.95% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 55.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.5% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.63% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)55.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 43.71%
    Bath City 30.95%
    Draw 25.33%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawBath City
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.95%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Bath City
1-0
Tonbridge Angels
Fletcher (7')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Tonbridge Angels
0-1
Bath City
Cooke (8')
May 14, 2021 11pm
Bath City
0-0
Tonbridge Angels
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Tonbridge Angels
P-P
Bath City
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Tonbridge Angels
P-P
Bath City