Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.