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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
43.11% ( -0.02) | 27.57% ( 0.02) | 29.32% |
Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.03% ( -0.06) | 57.96% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.33% ( -0.05) | 78.66% ( 0.05) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( -0.03) | 26.64% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.12% ( -0.05) | 61.87% ( 0.05) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% ( -0.03) | 35.37% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.87% ( -0.03) | 72.13% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.11% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 29.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |