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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 43.11% ( | 27.57% ( | 29.32% |
| Both teams to score 47.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.03% ( | 57.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.33% ( | 78.66% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( | 26.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.12% ( | 61.87% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.63% ( | 35.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.87% ( | 72.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% ( 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 4-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.11% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 2-2 @ 4.45% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 29.32% |