FA Cup
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 3 0
FT Elland Road
  • Willy Gnonto 1' goal
  • Rodrigo 34' goal
  • Willy Gnonto 36' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 71' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 76' goal
  • goal Callum Robinson 84'
  • goal Callum Robinson 90'+3'

Leeds United vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Cardiff City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Leeds United 54.69% (+0.09)
Draw 23.31% (-0.08)
Cardiff City 21.99% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.67% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.42% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 46.58% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 31.15% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 68.85% (-0.28)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 83.09% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 16.91% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 53.03% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 46.97% (-0.25)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 64.59% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 35.41% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 27.83% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 72.17% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Leeds United 54.69%
Draw 23.3%
Cardiff City 21.99%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.82% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.58% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 54.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.1% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.3%
Cardiff City
0-1 @ 6.22% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 21.99%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 8, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Jaden Philogene-Bidace 24' goal
  • Sheyi Ojo 31' goal
  • goal Rodrigo 65'
  • goal Sonny Perkins 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 38
Jun 21, 2020 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Junior Hoilett 36' goal
  • Albert Adomah 42' yellowcard
  • Junior Hoilett 43' yellowcard
  • Robert Glatzel 72' goal
  • yellowcard Helder Costa 37'
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tyler Roberts 57'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 81'
Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Helder Costa 6' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 8' goal
  • Pablo Hernandez 45' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 52' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Tomlin 32'
  • goal Lee Tomlin 60'
  • goal Sean Morrison 82'
  • redcard Sean Morrison 86'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 88'
Championship
Feb 3, 2018 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Gaetano Berardi 26' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Berardi 45' redcard
  • Sol Bamba 54' goal
  • goal Callum Paterson 9'
  • yellowcard Gary Madine 35'
  • goal Junior Hoilett 41'
  • goal Sean Morrison 45'
  • yellowcard Joe Ralls 45'
  • yellowcard Anthony Pilkington 79'
  • yellowcard Marko Grujic 82'
  • goal Anthony Pilkington 88'
Championship
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kenneth Zohore 28' goal
  • Junior Hoilett 37' goal
  • Kenneth Zohore 59' goal
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 23'
  • yellowcard Liam Cooper 39'
  • redcard Liam Cooper 45'
  • goal Kemar Roofe 67'
Championship
Feb 11, 2017 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Ayling 31' yellowcard
  • Liam Bridcutt 43' yellowcard
  • Liam Bridcutt 86' redcard
  • Liam Cooper 88' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Morrison 53'
  • yellowcard Greg Halford 64'
  • goal Kenneth Zohore 71'