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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 at 12pm UK
Ewood Park
Cardiff City logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Cardiff

Dack (48')
Garrett (13'), Hedges (49'), Wharton (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simpson (28'), Harris (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Cardiff
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City

With Cardiff registering so many draws of late, that would ordinarily make a low-scoring stalemate the most obvious result here. However, this is Blackburn we are talking about, and we feel that Rovers will net during the latter stages to maintain their run of no league draws all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
39.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 32.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.81% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (0.035000000000004 0.04)56.78% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)77.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (0.027999999999992 0.03)32.42% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07% (0.032 0.03)68.93% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 39.97%
    Cardiff City 32.51%
    Draw 27.51%
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.51%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Cardiff

Blackburn Rovers
81.1%
Draw
14.9%
Cardiff City
4.1%
74
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 8pm
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-1
Blackburn

Drameh (41'), Ng (59'), Collins (73'), Pack (90+4')
Rothwell (14')
Paul van Hecke (42'), Travis (50'), Lenihan (56'), Nyambe (59'), Gallagher (90'), Kaminski (90+1')
Nyambe (76')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
5-1
Cardiff
Gallagher (24'), Brereton Diaz (32', 45+1', 90' pen.), Dolan (53')
Morrison (58')
Flint (8'), Phillips (89')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
2-2
Blackburn
Vaulks (27'), Ralls (70')
Murphy (44'), Ralls (75')
Armstrong (43', 90')
Kaminski (19'), Lenihan (65')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Blackburn
0-0
Cardiff

Johnson (50'), Gallagher (80')

Cunningham (34'), Bacuna (49'), Tomlin (59')
Tomlin (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
12-6
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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