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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 47.37% ( | 26.28% | 26.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.26% ( | 54.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% | 76.05% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( | 23.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.04% ( | 56.96% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( | 36.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.2% ( | 72.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.37% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.35% |