Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.