Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.