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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Hull City |
39.7% ( 0.21) | 27.97% ( -0.07) | 32.33% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 47.42% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% ( 0.23) | 58.51% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% ( 0.18) | 79.09% ( -0.18) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% ( 0.23) | 28.77% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.39% ( 0.29) | 64.61% ( -0.28) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.56% ( 0.03) | 33.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% ( 0.03) | 70.07% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 90 | 57 | 33 | 93 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 69 | 57 | 12 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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