Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.