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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Sunderland |
26.29% ( 0.26) | 26.26% ( 0.04) | 47.44% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 49.2% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.29% ( 0.02) | 54.71% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.96% ( 0.02) | 76.03% ( -0.02) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.94% ( 0.23) | 36.05% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.16% ( 0.24) | 72.83% ( -0.24) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.93% ( -0.13) | 23.06% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.1% ( -0.19) | 56.89% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 26.29% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 47.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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