Championship Gameweek 9
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
  • Amad Diallo 53' goal
  • Alex Pritchard 58' goal
  • Ellis Simms 90'+3' goal

Sunderland vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Nov 11, 2022 8.00pm
Birmingham 1 - 2 Sunderland
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Amad Diallo

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Preston 2 - 4 Millwall
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Tom Bradshaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result

Sunderland 46.33% (-0.15)
Draw 26.52% (-0.29)
Millwall 27.14% (+0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.09% (+1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.83% (+1.32)
Under 2.5 55.16% (-1.32)
Over 3.5 23.59% (+1.07)
Under 3.5 76.41% (-1.08)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 76.22% (+0.51)
Under 0.5 23.78% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 42.07% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 57.93% (-0.73)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 64.41% (+1.07)
Under 0.5 35.59% (-1.08)
Over 1.5 27.64% (+1.09)
Under 1.5 72.36% (-1.10)

Score analysis

Sunderland 46.33%
Draw 26.51%
Millwall 27.14%
Sunderland
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.45)
2-1 @ 9.02% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 4.32% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.12)
4-1 @ 1.55% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.45)
2-2 @ 4.66% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.51%
Millwall
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 6.49% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 4.52% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.23% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.6% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.56% (+0.06)
Other @ 2%
Total : 27.14%

Head to Head

Championship
Mar 3, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Shaun Hutchinson 69' goal
  • George Saville 80' yellowcard
  • Steve Morison 90' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Oviedo 29'
  • yellowcard Jason Steele 90'
Championship
Nov 18, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Lewis Grabban 12' goal
  • Adam Matthews 46' goal
  • Bryan Oviedo 62' yellowcard
  • Lee Cattermole 65' yellowcard
  • George Honeyman 69' yellowcard
  • goal George Saville 16'
  • goal George Saville 20'
Championship
Nov 5, 2004 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dennis Wise 7' yellowcard
  • Dennis Wise 33' goal
  • Matt Lawrence 45' goal
  • yellowcard Julio Arca 12'
  • yellowcard Liam Lawrence 32'
  • yellowcard Carl Robinson 41'
  • yellowcard Jeff Whitley 70'
Championship
Oct 16, 2004 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin Muscat 72' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Muscat 74'

Build-up

Match Preview