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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 9
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Millwall logo

Sunderland
3 - 0
Millwall

Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Sunderland
Friday, November 11 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Brondby
Saturday, November 26 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawMillwall
46.33% (-0.148 -0.15)26.52% (-0.289 -0.29)27.14% (0.432 0.43)
Both teams to score 49.09% (1.134 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (1.312 1.31)55.16% (-1.316 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (1.068 1.07)76.41% (-1.074 -1.07)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22% (0.502 0.5)23.78% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.07% (0.718 0.72)57.93% (-0.723 -0.72)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (1.069 1.07)35.59% (-1.075 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (1.088 1.09)72.36% (-1.094 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 46.33%
    Millwall 27.14%
    Draw 26.51%
SunderlandDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.33%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.441 -0.44)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2%
Total : 27.14%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Millwall

Sunderland
64.2%
Draw
11.3%
Millwall
24.5%
53
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
2-2
Millwall
Grabban (12'), Matthews (46')
Oviedo (62'), Cattermole (65'), Honeyman (69')
Saville (16', 20')
Nov 5, 2004 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Sunderland
Lawrence (45'), Wise (33' pen.)
Wise (7')

Arca (12'), Lawrence (32'), Robinson (41'), Whitley (70')
Oct 16, 2004 3pm