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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Millwall |
| 46.33% ( | 26.52% ( | 27.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.83% ( | 55.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.59% ( | 76.41% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( | 23.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% ( | 57.93% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( | 35.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.64% ( | 72.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 4-0 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2% Total : 27.14% |