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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 9
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Millwall logo

Sunderland
3 - 0
Millwall

Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
Gooch (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saville (22'), Honeyman (34'), Mitchell (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Sunderland
Friday, November 11 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Brondby
Saturday, November 26 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Millwall

Having ended their recent losing streak, Rowett will be far more optimistic about his team's chances in the North East. However, we are backing Sunderland to edge this contest by the odd goal in three, potentially with a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawMillwall
46.33% (-0.148 -0.15) 26.52% (-0.289 -0.29) 27.14% (0.432 0.43)
Both teams to score 49.09% (1.134 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (1.312 1.31)55.16% (-1.316 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (1.068 1.07)76.41% (-1.074 -1.07)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22% (0.502 0.5)23.78% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.07% (0.718 0.72)57.93% (-0.723 -0.72)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (1.069 1.07)35.59% (-1.075 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (1.088 1.09)72.36% (-1.094 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 46.33%
    Millwall 27.14%
    Draw 26.51%
SunderlandDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.33%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.441 -0.44)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2%
Total : 27.14%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Millwall

Sunderland
64.2%
Draw
11.3%
Millwall
24.5%
53
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
2-2
Millwall
Grabban (12'), Matthews (46')
Oviedo (62'), Cattermole (65'), Honeyman (69')
Saville (16', 20')
Nov 5, 2004 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Sunderland
Lawrence (45'), Wise (33' pen.)
Wise (7')

Arca (12'), Lawrence (32'), Robinson (41'), Whitley (70')
Oct 16, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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