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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.04%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Hull City |
61.26% ( 0.06) | 23.58% ( -0.02) | 15.16% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 41.3% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.08% ( -0.01) | 56.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.17% ( -0) | 77.83% ( 0.01) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.69% ( 0.02) | 18.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.6% ( 0.03) | 49.4% ( -0.03) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.56% ( -0.06) | 49.44% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.73% ( -0.05) | 84.27% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 15.37% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 61.25% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 15.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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