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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Millwall logo

Preston
2 - 4
Millwall

Hughes (20'), Evans (28')
Lindsay (14')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Flemming (4', 16', 64'), Cresswell (72')
Saville (19'), Long (21'), McNamara (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-2 Preston
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-0 Millwall

This game is an opportunity for two sides that were not fancied for promotion pushes this season to head into the World Cup break inside the top six of the Championship. Preston have been in good form of late and considering the Lilywhites' defensive record, it could be three points and a clean sheet for the hosts against a Millwall side who struggle to pose an attacking threat on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMillwall
39.27% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 28.77% (0.012 0.01) 31.95% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Both teams to score 45.05% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.6% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)61.39% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.71% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)81.29% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.018999999999991 0.02)30.43% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)66.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)35.23% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.109 -0.11)71.99% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 39.26%
    Millwall 31.94%
    Draw 28.76%
Preston North EndDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.26%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 31.94%

How you voted: Preston vs Millwall

Preston North End
60.6%
Draw
28.8%
Millwall
10.6%
66
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-1
Preston
Malone (39'), Bennett (86')
Evans (90+4')
Evans (12')
Molumby (58')
Oct 28, 2020 7pm
Preston
0-2
Millwall

Johnson (71'), Browne (90+1')
Zohore (54'), Wallace (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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