Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.