FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
1 - 1
Sunderland

Cairney (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Clarke (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Spurs
Monday, January 23 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Middlesbrough
Sunday, January 22 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Sunderland
41.88% ( -0.36)	24.73% ( 0.05)	33.39% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.04% (

-0.14)

44.96% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.68% (

-0.13)

67.31% (

0.13)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.5% (

-0.23)

21.5% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.45% (

-0.35)

54.55% (

0.35)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74% (

0.12)

26% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.98% (

0.16)

61.02% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Fulham 41.88%

Sunderland 33.39%

Draw 24.72%

Fulham	Draw	Sunderland
2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.88%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.72%	1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.39%