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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Swansea City |
| 40.75% ( | 26.81% ( | 32.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% ( | 54.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( | 75.53% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( | 26.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( | 61.17% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( | 31.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( | 67.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.75% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.43% |