/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
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Oliver Cooper
27'
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Ian Maatsen
13'
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Ian Maatsen
22'
Swansea City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Swansea City
40.72%
▲
(+1.30)
Draw
26.86%
▼
(-0.19)
Burnley
32.41%
▼
(-1.13)
Both Teams to Score:
50.74%
▲
(+0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.68%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 2.5
54.31%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 3.5
24.29%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 3.5
75.7%
▼
(-0.41)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
73.77%
▲
(+0.94)
Under 0.5
26.22%
▼
(-0.94)
Over 1.5
38.67%
▲
(+1.24)
Under 1.5
61.32%
▼
(-1.25)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
68.77%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 0.5
31.22%
▲
(+0.51)
Over 1.5
32.43%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 1.5
67.56%
▲
(+0.59)
Score analysis
Swansea City
40.71%
Draw
26.85%
Burnley
32.41%
Swansea City
1-0
@
10.95%
▲
(+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.71%
2-1 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.71%
Draw
1-1
@
12.75%
▼
(-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.85%
0-0 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.85%
Burnley
0-1
@
9.53%
▼
(-0.32)
1-2 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.41%
1-2 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.41%
