Championship

Championship | Gameweek 26

Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
1 - 2
Burnley

Cooper (27')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Maatsen (13', 22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Burnley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Burnley
40.72% ( 1.3)	26.86% ( -0.19)	32.41% ( -1.12)

Both teams to score 50.74% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.68% (

0.48)

54.31% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.29% (

0.4)

75.7% (

-0.4)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.77% (

0.93)

26.22% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.67% (

1.24)

61.32% (

-1.24)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77% (

-0.51)

31.22% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43% (

-0.59)

67.56% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 40.71%

Burnley 32.41%

Draw 26.85%

Swansea City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.71%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.41%