Shrewsbury Town
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Sunderland

Shrewsbury
1 - 2
Sunderland

FT(HT: 0-0)
Stewart (90+2'), O'Nien (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Sunderland
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawSunderland
20.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)24.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.89% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02% (0.009999999999998 0.01)52.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)40.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)77.04% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08% (0.016000000000005 0.02)50.92% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 20.61%
    Sunderland 54.88%
    Draw 24.49%
Shrewsbury TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.31%
3-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.61%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 12.81%
0-2 @ 10.56%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 5.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 54.88%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Sunderland

Shrewsbury Town
26.9%
Draw
3.8%
Sunderland
69.2%
26
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Sunderland
3-2
Shrewsbury
Embleton (4'), Broadhead (13', 90+2')
Clarke (22'), O'Nien (88')
Vela (50'), Flanagan (58')
Bennett (28'), Bowman (90+1')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Sunderland
1-0
Shrewsbury
Wyke (18')
McGeady (28'), Leadbitter (76')

Pierre (74'), Vela (90+3')