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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Cheltenham Town

Shrewsbury
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Shipley (58')
Leahy (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
N'Lundulu (38')
N'Lundulu (60'), Norton (87'), Freestone (88'), Bonds (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shrewsbury Town 0-0 Cheltenham Town

With both sides generally more effective defensively than offensively, we can envisage a stalemate playing out at Montgomery Waters Meadow on Thursday. Both managers tend to prefer a 3-4-1-2 formation, too, increasing the chances of the two sets of players cancelling each other out on the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawCheltenham Town
43.55% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 27.37% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 29.07% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)57.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.81% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)78.18% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)61.2% (0.012 0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)35.23% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)71.98% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 43.54%
    Cheltenham Town 29.07%
    Draw 27.36%
Shrewsbury TownDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 29.07%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham

Shrewsbury Town
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Cheltenham Town
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-1
Cheltenham
Udoh (10', 48'), Davis (78')
Bloxham (40')
Williams (16')
May (25'), Hussey (40'), Chapman (45')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
2-1
Shrewsbury
Thomas (24' pen.), Joseph (66')
Udoh (4')
Pennington (1'), Bowman (54'), Leahy (78')
Bennett (23')
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Oct 11, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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