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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 43.55% ( | 27.37% ( | 29.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.64% ( | 57.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.81% ( | 78.18% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( | 26.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.8% ( | 61.2% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( | 35.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( | 71.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.51% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.07% |