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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 33.06% ( | 25.37% ( | 41.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.06% ( | 47.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.88% ( | 70.12% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( | 27.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( | 63.18% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% ( | 22.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.29% ( | 56.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.06% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.57% |