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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
33.06% ( -0.09) | 25.37% ( 0.01) | 41.57% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.06% ( -0.08) | 47.94% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.88% ( -0.07) | 70.12% ( 0.07) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% ( -0.1) | 27.64% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% ( -0.12) | 63.18% ( 0.12) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% ( 0.01) | 22.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.29% ( 0.01) | 56.71% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.06% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 40 |
2 | Wrexham | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 21 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Burton Albion | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |