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Championship header 2

League One

Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
The New Lawn
Cheltenham Town

Forest Green
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Peart-Harris (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Cheltenham
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
51.39% (0.012 0.01)24.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)23.99% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.02% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)35.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)72.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 51.38%
    Cheltenham Town 23.99%
    Draw 24.62%
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.99%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Cheltenham

Forest Green Rovers
45.5%
Draw
45.5%
Cheltenham Town
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7pm
Second Round
Forest Green
1-1
Cheltenham
 Cheltenham win 4-3 on penalties
March (24')
Peart-Harris (17')
Broom (69')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Forest Green
0-0
Cheltenham

Adams (44')
Adams (69')

Clements (32'), Boyle (49')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
2-1
Forest Green
Boyle (11'), Williams (57')
Boyle (14'), May (26'), Sercombe (59'), Clements (73')
Collins (74' pen.)
Adams (77')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Forest Green
P-P
Cheltenham
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Forest Green
Varney (67')
Raglan (24'), Clements (86'), Ince (90'), Tozer (93')
Aitchison (15'), Frear (40')
Collins (89')