EFL Trophy | Third Round

Dec 21, 2022 at 7pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
3 - 3
AFC Wimbledon

Cosgrove (61', 72', 76')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Hudlin (10', 17'), Assal (45+1')

Plymouth win 3-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Plymouth Argyle and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Swindon 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
60% ( 0.85)	22.11% ( -0.17)	17.89% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01% (

-0.28)

47% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

-0.27)

69.24% (

0.27)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.76% (

0.19)

15.25% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.08% (

0.34)

43.92% (

-0.34)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.03% (

-0.94)

39.97% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.38% (

-0.87)

76.63% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 59.99%

AFC Wimbledon 17.89%

Draw 22.11%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 59.99%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.11%	0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.89%