League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 3.00pm
Crawley 2 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jonny Williams

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ali Al-Hamadi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Swindon Town 59.68% (-0.01)
Draw 23.25% (+0.02)
AFC Wimbledon 17.06% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.91% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.17% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 52.83% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 25.55% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 74.45% (+0.09)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 82.61% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 17.38% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 52.2% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 47.8% (+0.07)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 55.57% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 44.43% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 19.53% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 80.47% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 59.68%
Draw 23.25%
AFC Wimbledon 17.07%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 13.51% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.82% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 59.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.72% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.25%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 6.27% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 17.07%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 42
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
  • Joe Pigott 20' goal
  • Will Nightingale 26' goal
  • Ayoub Assal 44' goal
  • Joe Pigott 54' goal
  • Shane McLoughlin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 20'
  • yellowcard Jordan Lyden 26'
  • yellowcard Brett Pitman 45'+2'
  • goal Tyler Smith 79'
League One Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • Jordan Stevens 19' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Pigott 28'
  • yellowcard Shane McLoughlin 66'
League One
Apr 14, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Tom Soares 24'
  • yellowcard George Francomb 41'
  • yellowcard Paul Robinson 50'
League One
Oct 15, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Robinson 30' yellowcard
  • Dean Parrett 62' yellowcard
  • Dannie Bulman 68' yellowcard
  • Darius Charles 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yaser Kasim 32'
  • yellowcard Conor Thomas 69'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thompson 79'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Vigouroux 89'
League Two
Jan 2, 2012 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Caddis 58' goal
  • Aden Flint 68' yellowcard
  • Alan Connell 76' goal
League Two
Nov 19, 2011 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sam Hatton 6' goal
  • Jack Midson 22' yellowcard
  • Chris Bush 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Ridehalgh 29'
  • goal Alan Connell 73'
  • yellowcard Paul Caddis 89'