Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 22, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 0
Middlesbrough

Stewart (51'), Diallo (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 1-3 Swansea
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Middlesbrough
36.07% ( -0.2)	26.23% ( 0.12)	37.7% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 53.45% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.84% (

-0.49)

51.16% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.99% (

-0.43)

73.01% (

0.44)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

-0.35)

27.36% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18% (

-0.46)

62.82% (

0.47)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58% (

-0.18)

26.42% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.42% (

-0.24)

61.58% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 36.07%

Middlesbrough 37.7%

Draw 26.23%

Sunderland	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.07%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.7%