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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stadium of Light
Middlesbrough logo

Sunderland
2 - 0
Middlesbrough

Stewart (51'), Diallo (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Howson (16'), Forss (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-3 Swansea
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-2 Middlesbrough

Last time out, Sunderland's performance was heavily hindered by an early red card, and they should put up more of a fight here. Nevertheless, we still expect Boro to have too much quality for their rivals, strengthening their hold of a playoff spot in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
36.07% (-0.199 -0.2) 26.23% (0.117 0.12) 37.7% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.393 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.84% (-0.494 -0.49)51.16% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.99% (-0.434 -0.43)73.01% (0.441 0.44)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (-0.351 -0.35)27.36% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (-0.46 -0.46)62.82% (0.467 0.47)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.178 -0.18)26.42% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-0.241 -0.24)61.58% (0.249 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 36.07%
    Middlesbrough 37.7%
    Draw 26.23%
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.07%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.7%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Middlesbrough

Sunderland
17.4%
Draw
28.3%
Middlesbrough
54.3%
46
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
Jan 6, 2018 1pm
Third Round
Middlesbrough
2-0
Sunderland
Gestede (10'), Braithwaite (42')
Leadbitter (50'), Traore (55')

Honeyman (25'), Love (57')
Nov 5, 2017 12.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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