Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough1 - 0Millwall
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-5 Brighton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Millwall
Given the size of their defeat in the FA Cup, we do not expect Boro to be the same side that had regularly impressed before that defeat. Nevertheless, the home side should still possess that extra bit of quality in the final third to get over the line in front of their own supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Millwall |
48.67% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( 0.01) | 25.7% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.59% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
