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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Millwall

Forss (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
48.67% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)25.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.7% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 50.59% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)52.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (-0.02 -0.02)74.3% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)21.65% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)35.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)72.19% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.67%
    Millwall 25.7%
    Draw 25.62%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 48.67%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 25.7%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Millwall
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0


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