Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Marcus Forss 54' goal

Middlesbrough vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
Birmingham 1 - 3 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Chuba Akpom

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
Millwall 3 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Tom Bradshaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result

Middlesbrough 48.67% (-0.02)
Draw 25.62% (+0.01)
Millwall 25.7% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.59% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.35% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 52.65% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 25.7% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74.3% (+0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 78.35% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.65% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.22% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 54.77% (+0.03)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 64.57% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 35.43% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.19% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 48.67%
Draw 25.62%
Millwall 25.7%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 48.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.62%
Millwall
0-1 @ 7.96% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 25.7%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Zian Flemming 5' goal
  • Zian Flemming 49' goal
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jake Cooper 4' yellowcard
  • Daniel Ballard 16' yellowcard
  • Scott Malone 19' yellowcard
  • Jed Wallace 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 19'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Matt Crooks 15' goal
  • Jonny Howson 57' yellowcard
  • goal Sol Bamba 27' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mason Bennett 34'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 45'+3'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Grant Hall 31' goal
  • Danny McNamara 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Bola 20'
Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Duncan Watmore 13' goal
  • Marcus Tavernier 15' goal
  • Duncan Watmore 20' goal
  • Marc Bola 23' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun Hutchinson 58'
Championship Gameweek 42
Jul 8, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Jake Cooper 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Britt Assombalonga 66'
  • goal Britt Assombalonga 68'
  • yellowcard George Saville 70'
  • goal Ashley Fletcher 86'
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 90'+3'