Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Tom Bradshaw 4' goal
  • C 66' goal
  • Tom Bradshaw 81' goal

Millwall vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Millwall 0 - 0 Bristol City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Tom Bradshaw

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Huddersfield 2 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Chiedozie Ogbene

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 70.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 9.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.37%) and 3-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.46%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result

Millwall 70.42% (+0.03)
Draw 20.47% (-0.04)
Rotherham United 9.1% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

33.1% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.92% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 58.08% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 21.25% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 78.75% (-0.09)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 84.43% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 15.56% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 55.48% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 44.51% (-0.09)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 39.2% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 60.8% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 8.94% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 91.05% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Millwall 70.42%
Draw 20.47%
Rotherham United 9.1%
Millwall
1-0 @ 17.6% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 16.37% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 10.15% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.15% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 70.42%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.46% (-0.04)
1-1 @ 8.76% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.47%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 9.1%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Dan Barlaser 9' goal
  • goal Zian Flemming 42'
Championship Gameweek 39
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Jed Wallace 64' goal
  • Jake Cooper 75' yellowcard
  • redcard Richard Wood 56'
  • yellowcard Angus MacDonald 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 2
Sep 19, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Michael Ihiekwe 25' yellowcard
  • goal Jed Wallace 50'
  • yellowcard Scott Malone 64'
  • yellowcard Murray Wallace 76'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 2, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den (London)
  • yellowcard Clark Robertson 40'
  • yellowcard Richard Wood 58'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 86'
  • yellowcard Kyle Vassell 90'
Championship Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2018 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium (Rotherham, South Yorkshire)
  • Sean Raggett 20' goal
  • Ryan Manning 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jed Wallace 22'
  • yellowcard Conor McLaughlin 89'
Championship
Feb 28, 2015 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daniel Ward 47' goal
  • Kari Arnason 85' goal
  • Ben Pringle 92' yellowcard
  • goal Martyn Woolford 20'
  • yellowcard Nadjim Abdou 70'