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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 70.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 9.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.37%) and 3-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.46%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Rotherham United |
70.42% ( 0.03) | 20.47% ( -0.03) | 9.1% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 33.1% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.92% ( 0.1) | 58.08% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.25% ( 0.08) | 78.75% ( -0.08) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( 0.04) | 15.56% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.48% ( 0.08) | 44.51% ( -0.08) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
39.2% ( 0.06) | 60.8% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.94% ( 0.03) | 91.05% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 17.6% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 16.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 70.42% | 0-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 8.76% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.47% | 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.04% Total : 9.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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