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Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Southampton logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Southampton

Firpo (77')
Gnonto (79'), Bamford (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Armstrong (58'), Lavia (85'), Bella-Kotchap (90+4'), Diallo (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United move out of the relegation zone in the Premier League courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Southampton at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
52.63% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 24.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.17% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)49.06% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)71.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)18.6% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12% (-0.055 -0.05)49.88% (0.058 0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.69% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (0.027000000000001 0.03)72.46% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 52.62%
    Southampton 23.17%
    Draw 24.19%
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 52.62%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.17%

How you voted: Leeds vs Southampton

Leeds United
54.9%
Draw
24.8%
Southampton
20.3%
133
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Southampton
2-2
Leeds
Aribo (72'), Walker-Peters (81')
Salisu (78')
Rodrigo (46', 60')
Harrison (43'), Kristensen (45'), Aaronson (90+3')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Southampton
1-0
Leeds
Broja (53')
Bednarek (75'), McCarthy (83')

Roberts (47'), Struijk (58'), Llorente (70')
May 18, 2021 6pm
Southampton
0-2
Leeds
Bamford (73'), Roberts (90+5')
Phillips (34'), Dallas (56'), Struijk (66')
Feb 23, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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