Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 25

Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 0
Southampton

Firpo (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United move out of the relegation zone in the Premier League courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Southampton at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Southampton
52.63% ( -0.06)	24.2% ( 0.02)	23.17% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 52.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94% (

-0.03)

49.06% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87% (

-0.02)

71.13% (

0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.4% (

-0.03)

18.6% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.12% (

-0.05)

49.88% (

0.06)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.31% (

0.03)

35.69% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.54% (

0.03)

72.46% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 52.62%

Southampton 23.17%

Draw 24.19%

Leeds United	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 52.62%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.17%