Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
40.71% ( -0.17) | 26.94% ( 0.05) | 32.36% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.39% ( -0.17) | 54.61% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.05% ( -0.14) | 75.95% ( 0.14) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( -0.17) | 26.37% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% ( -0.23) | 61.52% ( 0.23) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.58% ( 0) | 31.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.21% ( 0) | 67.79% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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