Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Southampton |
| 45.32% ( | 26.15% ( | 28.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% ( | 52.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.43% ( | 74.57% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( | 23.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.74% ( | 57.26% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( | 33.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.05% ( | 69.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 3-0 @ 4% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.31% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.97% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.53% |