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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Southampton logo

Everton
1 - 2
Southampton

Onana (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ward-Prowse (46', 78')

The Match

Match Report

Nathan Jones wins his first Premier League game in charge of Southampton as the Saints come from behind to beat Everton 2-1 at an infuriated Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
EvertonDrawSouthampton
45.32% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)26.15% (0.013999999999999 0.01)28.53% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.13% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.43% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)23.31% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.74% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)57.26% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (0.097999999999999 0.1)33.33% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05% (0.107 0.11)69.95% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Everton 45.31%
    Southampton 28.53%
    Draw 26.15%
EvertonDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 28.53%

How you voted: Everton vs Southampton

Everton
53.4%
Draw
25.6%
Southampton
21.1%
133
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Oct 25, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0


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