EFL Cup
Jan 24, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • goal Joelinton 73'

Southampton vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Newcastle United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result

Southampton 26.82% (-2.99)
Draw 24.36% (+0.21)
Newcastle United 48.82% (+2.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.53% (-2.91)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.38% (-2.84)
Under 2.5 46.62% (+2.84)
Over 3.5 31.11% (-2.72)
Under 3.5 68.89% (+2.72)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 68.69% (-3.61)
Under 0.5 31.31% (+3.61)
Over 1.5 32.33% (-4.41)
Under 1.5 67.66% (+4.41)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 80.84% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.16% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 49.18% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.82% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Southampton 26.82%
Draw 24.36%
Newcastle United 48.82%
Southampton
1-0 @ 6.97% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 6.68% (-0.55)
2-0 @ 4.05% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.51)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.42)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.31)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 26.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 6% (+0.69)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.45)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.23)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.36%
Newcastle United
0-1 @ 9.91% (+1.14)
1-2 @ 9.51% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 8.19% (+0.95)
1-3 @ 5.24% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 4.51% (+0.53)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.25)
1-4 @ 2.16% (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.86% (+0.22)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 48.82%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 6, 2022 2.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Romain Perraud 89' goal
  • goal Miguel Almiron 35'
  • goal Chris Wood 58'
  • goal Joe Willock 62'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Mar 10, 2022 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Stuart Armstrong 25' goal
  • Jan Bednarek 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 16'
  • goal Chris Wood 32'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 52'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fabian Schar 40' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 55' goal
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 90' goal
  • Jamaal Lascelles 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker-Peters 30'
  • yellowcard Moussa Djenepo 56'
  • goal Mohamed Elyounoussi 74'
  • yellowcard James Ward-Prowse 79'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Feb 6, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Jeff Hendrick 11' yellowcard
  • Joe Willock 16' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 26' goal
  • Emil Krafth 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 45'+4' goal
  • Jeff Hendrick 50' redcard
  • goal Takumi Minamino 30'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 48'
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 73'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Nov 6, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Che Adams 7' goal
  • Oriol Romeu 27' yellowcard
  • Stuart Armstrong 82' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Fernandez 43'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Moussa Djenepo 28' redcard
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 56'
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 79'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 90'